Friday, October 2, 2009

Top 10 Player Looking to Bounce Back

This list of players is not sorted by order; it's just a list of 10 guys looking to rebound after a disappointing year. The names qualified for this list are players who missed about 30 games last season (or about 35% of their games). These guys all may not be ranked high in this year's rankings because their stats aren't up there. People may tend to forget about injuries last year (and that's a big mistake when entering your draft). The earlier you draft (date-wise), the lower they probably will be listed as fantasy sites will slowly move them up the board the closer it gets to the season. So, if you're an early drafter, here are 10 guys to keep your eyes on.

*Draft round predictions are based on a standard 12-team league*

1) Al Jefferson (MIN)-PF/C (GM:32)
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Big Al was off to a career year before suffering a season-ending ACL injury. He's trained hard to get back to game speed and is ready to start a new season. With new head coach Kurt Rambis, he'll be relied upon to carry the franchise. There's not much talent in Minnesota, so he'll get more than his share of looks/touches.
I've always loved this guy because he turned down the money because he felt he didn't do enough to deserve it. Who does that these days in the NBA? Gotta respect Big Al for that.
-Late 1st round-Early 2nd round

2) Elton Brand (PHI)-PF/C (GM:53)-
Everyone in Philly was equally disappointed in their new acquisition as Clipper Nation was ecstatic that EB got what he deserved after spurning their contract offer. Brand will be anxious to help his .500 ball club reach the playoffs again. One thing to keep a note on is that he has played in only 37 games the last two seasons because of a ruptured Achilles' tendon in 2007 and missed the rest of last season due to shoulder surgery. It could be a huge gamble reaching for EB, but the reward is a fantasy star that is capable to leading your team to the top.
-2nd round-3rd round

3) Gilbert Arenas (WAS)-PG (GM:80)-
Agent 0 is determined to prove his critics wrong that his career is over, a bust, overpaid, etc. Reports say his knee has looked really strong and the best it's ever looked after several knee surgeries. Let's not forget he was a top 10 player just two years ago and he's only 27-years-old. There's plenty left in the tank after missing practically the past two seasons. He, also, won't have to carry the bulk of the scoring in Washington anymore with the arrival of Randy Foye and Mike Miller. Both guys will play huge roles for the Wizards, and they still have their big 3 intact with Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison. One downside is that he recently said he was only going to shoot 100 3ptrs in the season and will display his mid-range game. That certainly won't make fantasy owners happy as he's capable of making 200+ 3s.
Like Elton Brand, he definitely puts up 1st round numbers when healthy, but is he worth the gamble?
-2nd round-3rd round

4) Carlos Boozer (UTA)-PF/C (GM:45)
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Here are a few quotes Boozer have made:
~ "I'm looking forward to playing, looking forward to proving a lot to everybody, to myself, and getting back to being an All-Star player."
~ "Honestly, I don't know," he said. "I hope they support me. I hope the fans support me. I love our fans. I hope they know that I'm happy to be here, love being here. I'm going to bust my tail for them and give them everything I've got and prove everything on the court."

Not sure what to make of anything he's said after he really wanted out of Utah last season. One positive thing going for him, besides getting the starting nod over Paul Millsap, is Utah will definitely try to display him to increase his trade value later in the season. That means Boozer-like numbers will definitely be up there.
-3rd round

5) Kevin Martin (SAC)-SG (GM:31)-
K-Mart will surely get his share of shots in Sac-Town. With the rebuilding process in full gear, he's the cornerstone of the franchise. Martin is already buying into new head coach Paul Westphal's philosophy so good things will soon follow. His unorthodox shot is certainly one of the ugliest we've seen in a long time, but it's also one of the deadliest shots. If you enjoy scoring, he'll get plenty of it. Also, one of the better FT% guys out there in fantasy as he gets to the stripe about 10 times per game making nearly 90% of them. Definitely a guy to look at if you have a big man that shoots around 60% at the line.
-3rd round-early 4th round

6) Monta Ellis (GSW)-PG/SG (GM:57)
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Ellis never got off to the right start once he signed his new contract after getting into a moped accident. He was suspended 30 games due to a contract violation (although the majority of the games missed were due to his injury). This off-season didn't go so well with the blazing quick guard after the Warriors drafted college standout Stephen Curry, who plays the same position as Ellis. He'll be looking to display his skills to ensure not losing his spot to the rookie. We saw the numbers he's capable of putting up in the month of March as he averaged just under 24 ppg, 4.5 reb, 4.4 ast, & 1.2 stl. I forgot to mention that in the last game he played last year he dropped 42 pts, 9 reb, 9 ast!
-3rd round

7) Andrew Bogut (MIL)-C (GM:46)
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Not the biggest name out there, but Bogut is a good backup center capable of putting up decent numbers. 10-10 is what you'll most likely get out of him with a couple of assists and blocks. However, I believe his scoring will increase slightly, especially if Michael Redd misses any time this season. He does get lots of turnovers for a big man who doesn't put up dominating numbers (i.e. Dwight Howard); which could annoy Bogut owners. I certainly wouldn't reach for him, but keep an eye on him as it gets in the later rounds of your draft.
-Mid 8th round-9th round

8) Jameer Nelson (ORL)-PG (GM:40)
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Nelson best represents The Little Engine that Could. A healthy Nelson could've meant a different outcome in the NBA Finals, but showed how important he was to the team. At times, the Magic were stagnant suffered with no true ball handler on the court. He'll be even more crucial as the loss of Hedo Turkoglu takes away their other key playmaker. The all-star won't wow you with his numbers, but is a type of fantasy player that glues your roster together...high shooting percentages in all aspects.
-Mid 5th round-6th round

9) Chris Kaman (LAC)-PF/C (GM:51)
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Just one year removed from putting up career numbers, it looks like the Cave man's time has come and gone at Los Angeles. With the #1 overall pick, Blake Griffin, waiting in the wings, Kaman's PT could be limited as the season goes along. A few bright notes to keep in mind come draft day, Kaman WILL be starting ahead of Griffin (for the time being), so that'll give him at least a month to show Coach Dunleavy he deserves to stay in the lineup; and also, the other big man the Clippers have is Marcus Camby. Camby is notorious for getting injured (after all, he's never played a full season in his career), so Kaman owners could reap the benefits. On another side note: he could be traded early in the season if the Clippers decide to speed up the future.
-Mid 7th round-8th round

10) Michael Redd (MIL)-SG/SF (GM:49)
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Redd is already an intriguing player as he does most of his fantasy value in the scoring category. However, in H2H leagues, he can single handedly win the 3ptm category. He's another one of those players where his name recognition increases his value over his actual fantasy value. If you enjoy scoring, Redd's another player for you, as he won't fill up any boxscores. In the current Bucks lineup, there isn't much firepower, so Redd will be asked to score even more. This may not bold well for him as he's trying to recover from ACL/MCL surgery. So far, his knee has looked pretty good, but he hasn't seen action since January. It may take him some time to get back to game speed.
-5th round-early 6th round

(GM: Games Missed)

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